How I Approached This Most coverage of the Netflix–Paramount fight over Warner Bros. Discovery focuses on who bid what and who blinked first. That is useful, but it does not answer the harder question: given who actually holds power in this deal, where does the system land? To answer that, I used SimIntel, a stakeholder influence simulation platform rooted in political economy research. I mapped 66 stakeholders — regulators, investors, creative guilds, governments, and corpor

Five-Model Econometric Ensemble with Institutional Triangulation December 1, 2025 Forecast Period: Calendar Year 2026 Quantitative Analysis CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT This analysis is conducted as of December 1, 2025. The December 2025 FOMC meeting is scheduled for December 17-18, 2025. The baseline scenario assumes the FOMC will deliver a 25 basis point rate cut at that meeting, bringing the federal funds rate from 3.875% to 3.625%. All 2026 forecasts are predicated on this ass

Special Acknowledgment and Co-Authorship: LTC Jamey D. Nealy (Ret.) Summary This analysis synthesizes research on the determinants of U.S. drug demand with empirical findings from state-pooled panel analysis (800 observations: 50 states × 16 years, 2010-2025). The integration of published literature with platform-generated statistical models reveals both expected and surprising determinants of drug-related outcomes. KEY FINDING: Household debt emerges as the strongest predict

Several people asked in early October 2025 about forecasting/simulating when and how the U.S. government shutdown ends.   On October 25th (18 days in advance), using foundational statistics, agent-based modeling, and agentic AI—without any insider information— as I forecast and simulate the median end date of the U.S. government shutdown as November 12th, 2025, as evident below. Check it out the forecast and simulation accuracy. Core Experiment: Simulation / Forecast complete

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As global economic pressures mount, the U.S. administration is pursuing a strategic effort to weaken the dollar, aiming to boost exports,...

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