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Forecast on the Economic Impact of AI: Application of Stochastic Simulations, Gaussian Sampling, and ARIMA Modeling
BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front): This analysis explores the economic implications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) adoption using stochastic...

Amir Bagherpour
Mar 206 min read


Modeling U.S. Dollar Devaluation: A Dynamic Stress-Test of Trade, Monetary, and Currency Strategies
As global economic pressures mount, the U.S. administration is pursuing a strategic effort to weaken the dollar, aiming to boost exports,...

Amir Bagherpour
Mar 165 min read


Anticipating Escalation: Formal Modeling and AI-Powered Insights into Deterrence and Conflict Prevention☢️
I used an agentic approach (leveraging LLMs) to build a sophisticated model exploring the complex dynamics of nuclear deterrence, drawing...

Amir Bagherpour
Mar 1211 min read


Estimating Impact of Tariffs on Prices and Wages: Application of RAG Extraction and LLM-Assisted Model Generation (with robust validation)
Built a flexible model to estimate the impact of tariffs on prices and wages, adaptable to any dataset or industry. We have been refining...

Amir Bagherpour
Mar 122 min read


Anticipating Cybersecurity Technology Breakthroughs
Built a Model to Predict Cybersecurity Breakthroughs 🔍 💡 Cyber threats are advancing rapidly, and so are the technologies designed to...

Amir Bagherpour
Mar 102 min read


Measuring Trade Flows, Impact of Tariffs and Economic Shocks: AI-Driven Econometric Modeling
Using LLM enhanced econometrics to optimize trade and supply chain models, I applied an approach to estimating impact of tariffs on trade...

Amir Bagherpour
Mar 102 min read
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