Anticipating the Warner Discovery Outcome Using Multi-Agentic AI Simulations In this application, I developed a multi-agentic workflow to build a calibrated dataset, agent-based models, and simulations. I then developed an agent to infer and interpret the results from the models. BLUF Warner Bros Discovery Faces Likely Breakup as Bidding War Stalls The battle between Netflix and Paramount to acquire Warner Bros Discovery will most likely end not with a single winner, but wit

Five-Model Econometric Ensemble with Institutional Triangulation December 1, 2025 Forecast Period: Calendar Year 2026 Quantitative Analysis CURRENT MARKET CONTEXT This analysis is conducted as of December 1, 2025. The December 2025 FOMC meeting is scheduled for December 17-18, 2025. The baseline scenario assumes the FOMC will deliver a 25 basis point rate cut at that meeting, bringing the federal funds rate from 3.875% to 3.625%. All 2026 forecasts are predicated on this ass

Special Acknowledgment and Co-Authorship: LTC Jamey D. Nealy (Ret.) Summary This analysis synthesizes research on the determinants of U.S. drug demand with empirical findings from state-pooled panel analysis (800 observations: 50 states × 16 years, 2010-2025). The integration of published literature with platform-generated statistical models reveals both expected and surprising determinants of drug-related outcomes. KEY FINDING: Household debt emerges as the strongest predict

Several people asked in early October 2025 about forecasting/simulating when and how the U.S. government shutdown ends.   On October 25th (18 days in advance), using foundational statistics, agent-based modeling, and agentic AI—without any insider information— as I forecast and simulate the median end date of the U.S. government shutdown as November 12th, 2025, as evident below. Check it out the forecast and simulation accuracy. Core Experiment: Simulation / Forecast complete

Key Findings: The US leads by a thin margin  over China (101.4 vs 99.6) in AI capabilities, representing the closest competitive gap at...

BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front): This analysis explores the economic implications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) adoption using stochastic...

As global economic pressures mount, the U.S. administration is pursuing a strategic effort to weaken the dollar, aiming to boost exports,...

I used an agentic approach (leveraging LLMs) to build a sophisticated model exploring the complex dynamics of nuclear deterrence, drawing...

Built a flexible model to estimate the impact of tariffs on prices and wages, adaptable to any dataset or industry. We have been refining...

Built a Model to Predict Cybersecurity Breakthroughs 🔍 💡 Cyber threats are advancing rapidly, and so are the technologies designed to...