PUBLICATIONS
The Paradox of Progress: AI, Automation, and the New Stability Risk (November 2026), Amazon Books
The TFP-Stability Paradox: A Stochastic Modeling and Simulation System for the Algorithmic Stress-Testing of Sovereign Risk and Institutional Reliability (December 2025), Working Technical Paper
Estimating Foreign Born Scientists: Application of Network Scale Up Methods Using Ad Tech Data (November 2023), National Science Foundation
How Computer Simulations Enhance Geopolitical Decision-Making, (February 2021), Journal of Futures & Foresight Science
Power Transitions: The Rise of Regions (May 2020), Authored Chapter on MENA, Rowman & Littlefield
Denying the Seeds of Future Conflict: Computational Modeling of Proxy Activity in the Euphrates River Valley (February 2018), SMA Reach-back Publication, Joint Staff J39
Musicians Add ‘Counterterrorism Briefing’ to Pre-Grammy Schedule (January 2018), Rolling Stone
To Defeat ISIS, Cooperation is Key (April 2017), Foreign Affairs
Pathways to Stability for Transition Governments in the Middle East and North Africa (Jan 2015), Journal of Asian Politics and Policy
A Revised Selectorate Model for the Arab Spring (March 2012), Doctoral Dissertation
Hardliners Will Block Economic Reform: What Game Theory Tells Us About Rouhani’s Efforts (Jan 2016), The Guardian
Oppression 2.0: Iranian Discontent in Cyberspace (July 2011), PBS Frontline, Tehran Bureau
The Iranian Influence in Afghanistan (August 2010), PBS Frontline, Tehran Bureau
SPEAKING
Keynote: Dr Amir Bagherpour 2025 Defense Industry Forecast for American Defense Alliance at National Press Club
Keynote Speaker: Dr. Amir Bagherpour: A.I. - It’s Here and Will Change the Government Traveler’s Experience
MEDIA AND RECOGNITION BY COMMUNITIES OF INTEREST
How U.S. Intelligence Creates Games to Improve it's Forecast (July 2017), CBC
5 Things to Know Before Diving into Data Driven Decision-Making (August 2016), DEVEX
Beyond the Dashboard: Data for Decision-Making (July 2016), DEVEX
Predicting OPEC’s Behavior: What’s Their Next Move? (April 2016), Bloomberg
Big Data Analytics and Preventing Conflict, Technology Empowering U.S. Diplomacy (May 2013), Department of State
Moneyball Diplomacy: Applying Big Data Analytics on Conflict Analysis in Nigeria (June 2013), NextGov