top of page
Amir Bagherpour
Writer
AI & Analytics Leader
More actions
Profile
Join date: Mar 11, 2025
Posts (8)
Oct 25, 2025 ∙ 2 min
Simulation and Forecast of When the 2025 U.S. Government Shutdown Ends
Several people asked in early October 2025 about forecasting/simulating when and how the U.S. government shutdown ends. On October 25th (18 days in advance), using foundational statistics, agent-based modeling, and agentic AI—without any insider information— as I forecast and simulate the median end date of the U.S. government shutdown as November 12th, 2025, as evident below. Check it out the forecast and simulation accuracy. Core Experiment: Simulation / Forecast completed Oct 25, 2025 --...
3
0
Jul 19, 2025 ∙ 11 min
Global AI Leadership: Indexed Forecasting Models and Simulations Reveal a Significant Digital Divide
Key Findings: The US leads by a thin margin over China (101.4 vs 99.6) in AI capabilities, representing the closest competitive gap at...
93
0
1
Mar 21, 2025 ∙ 6 min
Forecast on the Economic Impact of AI: Application of Stochastic Simulations, Gaussian Sampling, and ARIMA Modeling
BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front): This analysis explores the economic implications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) adoption using stochastic...
99
0
bottom of page